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- Das Storm Prediction Center (deutsch Sturmvorhersagezentrum) der Vereinigten Staaten in Norman (Oklahoma) gehört zu den National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Es unterliegt der Kontrolle des National Weather Service, einer Abteilung der National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration des amerikanischen Handelsministeriums. Bis zum Oktober 1995 war das Storm Prediction Center in Kansas City (Missouri) unter dem Namen National Severe Storms Forecast Center ansässig. Das Storm Prediction Center ist verantwortlich für die Erkennung, Beschreibung und Bewertung von Risiken, die von konvektiven Stürmen ausgehen. Zu diesen Risiken zählen vor allem Tornados, Hagelkörner mit mehr als 2 cm Durchmesser und Winde mit Geschwindigkeiten von mindestens 93 km/h. Ebenfalls zu den Aufgaben des Storm Prediction Centers gehört die Warnung vor brandgefährdeten Gebieten oder starken Schneefällen. Die Aufgaben werden im Wesentlichen durch convective outlooks, severe thunderstorm watches und tornado watches, weather watches sowie mesoscale discussions verfolgt. In einem dreistufigen Verfahren werden das Gebiet, die Zeitspanne und die Details einer Wetterwarnung immer weiter konkretisiert und dabei die Aufmerksamkeit erhöht. (de)
- Le Storm Prediction Center (SPC) est situé à Norman, Oklahoma et fait partie du « National Centers for Environmental Prediction » (NCEP), un groupe de centres de prévision national américain sous le contrôle du « National Weather Service » (NWS). Le NWS est un des services du National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) du "Department of Commerce" (DoC). Jusqu'à octobre 1995, le SPC était connu comme « The National Severe Storms Forecast Center » (NSSFC) et était situé près de Kansas City, Missouri. Depuis septembre de 2006, le Storm Prediction Center, le bureau du National Weather Service, le National Severe Storms Laboratory, le département de météorologie de l'université et d'autres organisations en météorologie de l'État de l'Oklahoma ont déménagé dans le centre national de météorologie sur les terrains de l'université d'Oklahoma dans la ville de Norman. (fr)
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is a US government agency that is part of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), operating under the control of the National Weather Service (NWS), which in turn is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States Department of Commerce (DoC). Headquartered at the National Weather Center in Norman, Oklahoma, the Storm Prediction Center is tasked with forecasting the risk of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in the contiguous United States. It issues , , and as a part of this process. Convective outlooks are issued for the following eight days (issued separately for Day 1, Day 2, Day 3, and Days 4–8), and detail the risk of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes during the given forecast period, although tornado, hail and wind details are only available for Days 1 and 2. Day 3, as well as 4–8 use a probabilistic scale, determining the probability for a severe weather event in percentage categories. Mesoscale discussions are issued to provide information on certain individual regions where severe weather is becoming a threat and states whether a watch is likely and details thereof, particularly concerning conditions conducive for the development of severe thunderstorms in the short term, as well as situations of isolated severe weather when watches are not necessary. Watches are issued when forecasters are confident that severe weather will occur, and usually precede the onset of severe weather by one hour, although this sometimes varies depending on certain atmospheric conditions that may inhibit or accelerate convective development. The agency is also responsible for forecasting fire weather (indicating conditions that are favorable for wildfires) in the contiguous U.S., issuing fire weather outlooks for Days 1, 2, and 3–8, which detail areas with various levels of risk for fire conditions (such as fire levels and fire alerts). (en)
- O Storm Prediction Center (SPC, em português Centro de Previsão de Tempestade) é uma agência governamental que faz parte dos Centros Nacionais de Previsão Ambiental (NCEP), operando sob o controle do Serviço Nacional de Meteorologia dos Estados Unidos (NWS), que por sua vez faz parte do Administração Oceânica e Atmosférica Nacional (NOAA) do Departamento de Comércio dos Estados Unidos (DoC). Com sede no National Weather Center em Norman, Oklahoma, o Storm Prediction Center tem a tarefa de prever o risco de fortes tempestades e tornados nos Estados Unidos. Ele emite perspectivas convectivas, discussões de mesoescala e alertas como parte desse processo. Perspectivas convectivas são emitidas para os oito dias seguintes (emitidas separadamente para o dia 1 dia 2, dia 3 e dias 4 a 8), e detalha o risco de fortes tempestades e tornados durante o período de previsão fornecido, embora detalhes de tornado, granizo e vento estejam disponíveis apenas para os dias 1 e 2. Dia 3, bem como 4-8, usam uma escala probabilística, determinando a probabilidade de um evento de clima severo em categorias de percentagem. As discussões de mesoescala são emitidas para fornecer informações sobre certas regiões individuais onde o tempo severo está se tornando uma ameaça e declara se um alerta é provável e seus detalhes, particularmente no que diz respeito às condições propícias ao desenvolvimento de fortes tempestades a curto prazo, bem como situações de isolamento clima severo quando os alertas não são necessários. Os alertas são emitidos quando os meteorologistas estão confiantes de que ocorrerá um mau tempo e geralmente precedem o início do mau tempo em uma hora, embora isso às vezes varie dependendo de certas condições atmosféricas que podem inibir ou acelerar o desenvolvimento convectivo. A agência também é responsável pela previsão do tempo de incêndio (indicando condições favoráveis para incêndios florestais) nos EUA contíguos, emitindo perspectivas de tempo de incêndio para dias 1, 2 e 3–8, que detalham áreas com vários níveis de risco para condições de incêndio (como níveis de incêndio e alertas de incêndio). (pt)
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- SELS (en)
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- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 162
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Much of Arkansas
Northwest Louisiana
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1005 AM
until 500 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail likely with isolated very large hail
events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Severe storms will move across the watch area through this
afternoon, posing a risk of locally damaging winds, large hail, and
a few tornadoes. An isolated strong tornado or two is also
possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles north of Walnut Ridge AR to 35
miles southeast of Longview TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update .
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&& (en)
- Mesoscale Discussion 0562
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0105 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017
Areas affected...central AR into northwester LA and northeast TX
Concerning...Tornado Watch 162...
Valid 261805Z - 261930Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 162 continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated severe hail/gusts are the main severe risks in
the short term . The tornado threat may increase
later this afternoon dependent on quasi-discrete supercells
developing ahead of the cold front.
DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a relatively weak squall line over
central AR with the mean flow largely parallel to the gust front of
the squall line. Severe weather is not expected in the short term
associated with this part of the convective line. Farther south,
strengthening updrafts on or immediately behind the surface wind
shift have led to the development of strong/severe storms developing
from northeast TX into far southwestern AR. Isolated large
hail/severe gusts are the primary hazards with this activity over
the next 1-3 hours.
A very stout cap was noted in the 12z SHV raob and the 18z SHV raob
exhibited much reduced convective inhibition compared to this
morning in the 850-650 mb layer. Although strengthening and veering
flow with height in the lowest 1 km was noted --resulting in some
enlargement to the hodograph-- considerable backing of flow in the
750-500 mb layer would tend to be suboptimal for tornadic low-level
mesocyclones. Nonetheless, gradual moistening in the low levels is
expected. It appears the risk for strong tornadoes may be less than
previously thought---although some risk remains.
..Smith.. 04/26/2017 (en)
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- Das Storm Prediction Center (deutsch Sturmvorhersagezentrum) der Vereinigten Staaten in Norman (Oklahoma) gehört zu den National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Es unterliegt der Kontrolle des National Weather Service, einer Abteilung der National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration des amerikanischen Handelsministeriums. Bis zum Oktober 1995 war das Storm Prediction Center in Kansas City (Missouri) unter dem Namen National Severe Storms Forecast Center ansässig. (de)
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is a US government agency that is part of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), operating under the control of the National Weather Service (NWS), which in turn is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States Department of Commerce (DoC). (en)
- Le Storm Prediction Center (SPC) est situé à Norman, Oklahoma et fait partie du « National Centers for Environmental Prediction » (NCEP), un groupe de centres de prévision national américain sous le contrôle du « National Weather Service » (NWS). Le NWS est un des services du National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) du "Department of Commerce" (DoC). Jusqu'à octobre 1995, le SPC était connu comme « The National Severe Storms Forecast Center » (NSSFC) et était situé près de Kansas City, Missouri. Depuis septembre de 2006, le Storm Prediction Center, le bureau du National Weather Service, le National Severe Storms Laboratory, le département de météorologie de l'université et d'autres organisations en météorologie de l'État de l'Oklahoma ont déménagé dans le centre national de m (fr)
- O Storm Prediction Center (SPC, em português Centro de Previsão de Tempestade) é uma agência governamental que faz parte dos Centros Nacionais de Previsão Ambiental (NCEP), operando sob o controle do Serviço Nacional de Meteorologia dos Estados Unidos (NWS), que por sua vez faz parte do Administração Oceânica e Atmosférica Nacional (NOAA) do Departamento de Comércio dos Estados Unidos (DoC). (pt)
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- Storm Prediction Center (de)
- Storm Prediction Center (fr)
- Storm Prediction Center (pt)
- Storm Prediction Center (en)
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- dbr:List_of_tornadoes_in_the_1999_Oklahoma_tornado_outbreak
- dbr:List_of_tornadoes_in_the_tornado_outbreak_of_May_18–21,_2013
- dbr:Severe_thunderstorm_warning
- dbr:Tornado_outbreak_of_April_9–11,_2011
- dbr:Tornado_outbreak_of_February_11–13,_1950
- dbr:Tornado_outbreak_of_June_2,_1998
- dbr:European_Storm_Forecast_Experiment
- dbr:Evergreen,_Virginia
- dbr:First_Warning
- dbr:National_Weather_Service_Shreveport,_Louisiana
- dbr:Lists_of_tornadoes_and_tornado_outbreaks
- dbr:Severe_Local_Storms_Unit
- dbr:Southern_Great_Lakes_Derecho_of_1991
- dbr:Tropical_Storm_Claudette_(2021)
- dbr:Tropical_Storm_Danny_(2021)
- dbr:Tropical_storms_Amanda_and_Cristobal
- dbr:Public_Severe_Weather_Outlook
- dbr:Severe_Local_Storms_Center
- dbr:Storms_Prediction_Center
- dbr:NSSFC
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