The Hobbesian trap (or Schelling's dilemma) is a theory that explains why preemptive strikes occur between two groups, out of bilateral fear of an imminent attack. Without outside influences this situation will lead to a fear spiral (catch-22, vicious circle, Nash equilibrium) in which fear will lead to an arms race which in turn will lead to increasing fear. The Hobbesian trap can be explained in terms of game theory. Although cooperation would be the better outcome for both sides, mutual distrust leads to the adoption of strategies that have negative outcomes for both individual players and all players combined. The theory has been used to explain outbreaks of conflicts and violence, spanning from individuals to states.
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- Hobbesian trap (en)
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| - The Hobbesian trap (or Schelling's dilemma) is a theory that explains why preemptive strikes occur between two groups, out of bilateral fear of an imminent attack. Without outside influences this situation will lead to a fear spiral (catch-22, vicious circle, Nash equilibrium) in which fear will lead to an arms race which in turn will lead to increasing fear. The Hobbesian trap can be explained in terms of game theory. Although cooperation would be the better outcome for both sides, mutual distrust leads to the adoption of strategies that have negative outcomes for both individual players and all players combined. The theory has been used to explain outbreaks of conflicts and violence, spanning from individuals to states. (en)
- La trampa hobbesiana (o dilema de Schelling) es una teoría que explica por qué se producen ataques preventivos entre dos grupos, por temor bilateral a un ataque inminente. Sin influencias externas, esta situación conducirá a una espiral de miedo ( catch-22, círculo vicioso, equilibrio de Nash ) en la que el miedo conducirá a una carrera de armamentos que, a su vez, conducirá a un temor creciente. La trampa hobbesiana se puede explicar en términos de teoría de juegos. Si bien la cooperación sería el mejor resultado para ambas partes, la desconfianza mutua lleva a la adopción de estrategias que tienen resultados negativos para los jugadores individuales y todos los jugadores combinados. La teoría se ha utilizado para explicar los brotes de conflictos y violencia, que van desde los individu (es)
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| - La trampa hobbesiana (o dilema de Schelling) es una teoría que explica por qué se producen ataques preventivos entre dos grupos, por temor bilateral a un ataque inminente. Sin influencias externas, esta situación conducirá a una espiral de miedo ( catch-22, círculo vicioso, equilibrio de Nash ) en la que el miedo conducirá a una carrera de armamentos que, a su vez, conducirá a un temor creciente. La trampa hobbesiana se puede explicar en términos de teoría de juegos. Si bien la cooperación sería el mejor resultado para ambas partes, la desconfianza mutua lleva a la adopción de estrategias que tienen resultados negativos para los jugadores individuales y todos los jugadores combinados. La teoría se ha utilizado para explicar los brotes de conflictos y violencia, que van desde los individuos hasta los estados. (es)
- The Hobbesian trap (or Schelling's dilemma) is a theory that explains why preemptive strikes occur between two groups, out of bilateral fear of an imminent attack. Without outside influences this situation will lead to a fear spiral (catch-22, vicious circle, Nash equilibrium) in which fear will lead to an arms race which in turn will lead to increasing fear. The Hobbesian trap can be explained in terms of game theory. Although cooperation would be the better outcome for both sides, mutual distrust leads to the adoption of strategies that have negative outcomes for both individual players and all players combined. The theory has been used to explain outbreaks of conflicts and violence, spanning from individuals to states. (en)
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