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The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction. The system is a thirteen-point checklist that concerns the circumstances of a presidential election. When five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the incumbent party candidate is predicted to win the election. Some of the items on this checklist involve qualitative judgment, and therefore the reliability of this system relies heavily on the knowledge and analytical skill of whoever attempts to apply it. Using his own system, Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome

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  • The Keys to the White House (in)
  • The Keys to the White House (it)
  • As Chaves da Casa Branca (pt)
  • The Keys to the White House (en)
  • Ключи к Белому дому (ru)
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  • The Keys to the White House adalah buku terbitan tahun 1996 mengenai sistem prediksi terhadap pemilihan presiden di Amerika Serikat. Sistem ini terilhami oleh penelitian gempa bumi, dikembangkan pada tahun 1981 oleh sejarawan Amerika Serikat Allan Lichtman dan ilmuwan Rusia, . (in)
  • The Keys to the White House è un libro del 1996 su un sistema di previsione in grado, secondo gli autori, di determinare l'esito delle elezioni presidenziali negli Stati Uniti. Il sistema, ispirato dalla ricerca sui terremoti, è stato sviluppato nel 1981 dallo storico americano Allan Lichtman e dal geofisico russo Vladimir Keilis-Borok. (it)
  • As Chaves da Casa Branca é um sistema de previsão para determinar o resultado das eleições presidenciais nos Estados Unidos que foi desenvolvido pelo historiador americano e pelo geofísico russo em 1981. Com este sistema, Lichtman previu corretamente os resultados de todas as eleições presidenciais de 1984 a 2020, com exceção de 2000. (pt)
  • «Ключи к Белому дому» (англ. The Keys to the White House) — книга 1996 года о системе предсказания результатов выборов президента США. Данная система была разработана в 1981 году американским историком Аланом Лихтманом и российским ученым В. И. Кейлис-Бороком, специалистом по предсказательным математическим моделям. Модель имеет историю точных предсказаний, однако подвергается критике некоторых ученых из-за того, что в неё включены слишком много допущений, и из-за того, что она предсказывает только победителя выборов, а не процент голосов победившей партии. (ru)
  • The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction. The system is a thirteen-point checklist that concerns the circumstances of a presidential election. When five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the incumbent party candidate is predicted to win the election. Some of the items on this checklist involve qualitative judgment, and therefore the reliability of this system relies heavily on the knowledge and analytical skill of whoever attempts to apply it. Using his own system, Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome (en)
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  • http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:FilePath/Portrait_of_Allan_Lichtman.jpg
  • http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:FilePath/Keilis-Borok_photo.jpg
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