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The Wells effect describes an empirical disconnect between people's judgment of guilt in a trial setting, and both the mathematical and subjective probability involving guilt. This finding shows that evidence that makes a defendant's guilt more or less probable will not necessarily make a guilty verdict more or less likely, which suggests that the judgments made in courts are not governed by rational decision making.

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  • Wells effect
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  • The Wells effect describes an empirical disconnect between people's judgment of guilt in a trial setting, and both the mathematical and subjective probability involving guilt. This finding shows that evidence that makes a defendant's guilt more or less probable will not necessarily make a guilty verdict more or less likely, which suggests that the judgments made in courts are not governed by rational decision making.
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  • The Wells effect describes an empirical disconnect between people's judgment of guilt in a trial setting, and both the mathematical and subjective probability involving guilt. This finding shows that evidence that makes a defendant's guilt more or less probable will not necessarily make a guilty verdict more or less likely, which suggests that the judgments made in courts are not governed by rational decision making.
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