About: Predictions of the collapse of the Soviet Union

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There were people and organizations who predicted that the USSR would dissolve before the eventual dissolution of the USSR in 1991. Authors often credited with having predicted the dissolution of the Soviet Union include Andrei Amalrik in Will the Soviet Union Survive Until 1984? (1970), French academic Emmanuel Todd in La chute finale: Essais sur la décomposition de la sphère soviétique (The Final Fall: An essay on the decomposition of the Soviet sphere) (1976), economist Ravi Batra in his 1978 book The Downfall of Capitalism and Communism and French historian Hélène Carrère d'Encausse. Additionally, Walter Laqueur notes that "Various articles that appeared in professional journals such as Problems of Communism and Survey dealt with the decay and the possible downfall of the Soviet regime

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rdfs:label	تنبؤات انهيار الاتحاد السوفيتي (ar) Predictions of the collapse of the Soviet Union (en) Previsões de colapso da União Soviética (pt) 蘇聯解體的預言 (zh)
rdfs:comment	在1991年蘇聯解體之前，曾有人和組織預測蘇聯即將解體。 (zh) تنبأ العديد من الأشخاص والمؤسسات بحل الاتحاد السوفيتي قبل تفككه بشكل تام في نهاية المطاف عام 1991. غالبًا ما يُنسب فضل للكتُاب في توقعهم لتفكك الاتحاد السوفيتي بمن فيهم أندريه أمالريك في كتابه هل سينجو الاتحاد السوفيتي حتى عام 1984؟ (1970)، والأكاديمي الفرنسي إيمانويل تود في مؤلفه السقوط النهائي: مقال عن تحلل المجال السوفيتي (1976)، والاقتصادي رافي باترا في كتابه انهيار الرأسمالية والشيوعية (1978)، والمؤرخة الفرنسية هيلين كارير دي إنكوس. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، يلاحظ والتر لاكوير أن «المقالات المتنوعة التي ظهرت في المجلات المتخصصة مثل مشاكل الشيوعية والدراسة الاستقصائية تناولت الاضمحلال والانهيار المحتمل للنظام السوفيتي». تتجاوز نظرة بعض الأمريكيين، وخاصةً المحافظين منهم، إلى مبادرة الدفاع الاستراتيجي لرونالد ريغان على أنها تنبؤ لانهيار الاتحاد السوفيتي، بل يعتبرونها سببًا في ذلك أيضًا. (ar) There were people and organizations who predicted that the USSR would dissolve before the eventual dissolution of the USSR in 1991. Authors often credited with having predicted the dissolution of the Soviet Union include Andrei Amalrik in Will the Soviet Union Survive Until 1984? (1970), French academic Emmanuel Todd in La chute finale: Essais sur la décomposition de la sphère soviétique (The Final Fall: An essay on the decomposition of the Soviet sphere) (1976), economist Ravi Batra in his 1978 book The Downfall of Capitalism and Communism and French historian Hélène Carrère d'Encausse. Additionally, Walter Laqueur notes that "Various articles that appeared in professional journals such as Problems of Communism and Survey dealt with the decay and the possible downfall of the Soviet regime (en) Durante a maior parte de sua existência, considerou-se o comunismo como um sistema que não poderia ser desmantelado a partir de dentro, mas sim apenas por expedientes militares externos, como o diplomata americano George F. Kennan deixou claro em seu telegrama. Toda área perdida pelo capitalismo para o comunismo seria uma perda sem possibilidade de retorno - daí a importância da implementação pelos EUA da política de contenção, desenhada pelo mesmo diplomata. Entre 1950 e 1960 esperava-se até mesmo o oposto, como a vitória do socialismo sobre o capitalismo, não na forma militar, mas sim econômica, tecnológica e espacial, como o premie Nikita Kruschev deixou claro em seu discurso na ONU em 1957 (no qual apostava que a URSS ultrapassaria economicamente os EUA por volta dos anos 1980), e polí (pt)
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dcterms:subject	Cold War Prediction Dissolution of the Soviet Union
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Wikipage revision ID	1113551701 (xsd:integer)
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