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The economy of Iran has been stagnated for several years since the Islamic Revolution. The economic recession was intensified in early 1990s. Thus, it is necessary to make serious decisions in processing macroeconomic variables. In early 2010s, the real GDP trend experienced serious changes, and the economic recession was intensified with a drop in oil prices and the subsequent reduction in domestic and foreign exchange earnings. In economic literature, the overall macroeconomic performance deviation from the long-term growth is called the business cycle. Clearly, a better understanding of recession in the economy of Iran is crucial in economic policies.

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  • Economic recession in Iran (en)
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  • The economy of Iran has been stagnated for several years since the Islamic Revolution. The economic recession was intensified in early 1990s. Thus, it is necessary to make serious decisions in processing macroeconomic variables. In early 2010s, the real GDP trend experienced serious changes, and the economic recession was intensified with a drop in oil prices and the subsequent reduction in domestic and foreign exchange earnings. In economic literature, the overall macroeconomic performance deviation from the long-term growth is called the business cycle. Clearly, a better understanding of recession in the economy of Iran is crucial in economic policies. (en)
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  • The economy of Iran has been stagnated for several years since the Islamic Revolution. The economic recession was intensified in early 1990s. Thus, it is necessary to make serious decisions in processing macroeconomic variables. In early 2010s, the real GDP trend experienced serious changes, and the economic recession was intensified with a drop in oil prices and the subsequent reduction in domestic and foreign exchange earnings. In economic literature, the overall macroeconomic performance deviation from the long-term growth is called the business cycle. Clearly, a better understanding of recession in the economy of Iran is crucial in economic policies. Efforts have been made to explain and define recession so that the proposed definitions would reflect some relevant theories. Although the business cycles are different in terms of duration and intensity, they usually have common features including production, employment, real income and real sales which increase or decrease simultaneously. On the other hand, some economic variables as leading indicators suggest the creation of a cycle in future before intensification of a business cycle. These variables include the number of working hours, real contracts, the volumes of orders in the manufacturing sector, number of started buildings, changes in the money supply, changes in the credits and changes in some of the sensitive prices. The use of variables to identify boom and recession periods can be differently important. This has been investigated in economic studies using different econometric methods. (en)
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