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In the philosophy of science, the pessimistic induction, also known as the pessimistic meta-induction, is an argument which seeks to rebut scientific realism, particularly the scientific realist's notion of epistemic optimism. The pessimistic meta-induction is the argument that if past successful and accepted scientific theories were found to be false, we have no reason to believe the scientific realist's claim that our currently successful theories are approximately true.

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  • Pessimistic induction (en)
  • Пессимистическая индукция (ru)
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  • In the philosophy of science, the pessimistic induction, also known as the pessimistic meta-induction, is an argument which seeks to rebut scientific realism, particularly the scientific realist's notion of epistemic optimism. The pessimistic meta-induction is the argument that if past successful and accepted scientific theories were found to be false, we have no reason to believe the scientific realist's claim that our currently successful theories are approximately true. (en)
  • Пессимистическая индукция или мета-индукция (англ. pessimistic induction, pessimistic meta-induction) — аргумент в философии науки, критикующий положения научного реализма. Согласно мета-индукции, истинность современных научных теорий ставится под сомнение из-за самой истории науки. В прошлом существовали эмпирически успешные теории, которые, спустя некоторое время, оказывались ложными. Поэтому мы не можем делать вывод об истинности наших современных теорий, так как они с большой вероятностью являются ложными. (ru)
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  • In the philosophy of science, the pessimistic induction, also known as the pessimistic meta-induction, is an argument which seeks to rebut scientific realism, particularly the scientific realist's notion of epistemic optimism. The pessimistic meta-induction is the argument that if past successful and accepted scientific theories were found to be false, we have no reason to believe the scientific realist's claim that our currently successful theories are approximately true. (en)
  • Пессимистическая индукция или мета-индукция (англ. pessimistic induction, pessimistic meta-induction) — аргумент в философии науки, критикующий положения научного реализма. Согласно мета-индукции, истинность современных научных теорий ставится под сомнение из-за самой истории науки. В прошлом существовали эмпирически успешные теории, которые, спустя некоторое время, оказывались ложными. Поэтому мы не можем делать вывод об истинности наших современных теорий, так как они с большой вероятностью являются ложными. Впервые аргумент был выдвинут Лари Лауданом в 1981 году в его работе «A confutation of convergent realism». (ru)
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