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Elite overproduction is a concept developed by Peter Turchin, which describes the condition of a society which is producing too many potential elite-members relative to its ability to absorb them into the power structure. This, he hypothesizes, is a cause for social instability, as those left out of power feel aggrieved by their relatively low socioeconomic status.

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  • Elite overproduction (en)
  • Surproduction d'élites (fr)
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  • La surproduction d'élite est un concept, développé par Piotr Tourtchine, qui décrit la condition d'une société qui produit trop de membres potentiels de l'élite par rapport à sa capacité à les absorber dans la structure du pouvoir. Tourtchine suppose que la surproduction d'élites est une cause d'instabilité sociale, car ceux qui sont exclus du pouvoir se sentent lésés par leur statut social relativement bas. (fr)
  • Elite overproduction is a concept developed by Peter Turchin, which describes the condition of a society which is producing too many potential elite-members relative to its ability to absorb them into the power structure. This, he hypothesizes, is a cause for social instability, as those left out of power feel aggrieved by their relatively low socioeconomic status. (en)
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  • Elite overproduction is a concept developed by Peter Turchin, which describes the condition of a society which is producing too many potential elite-members relative to its ability to absorb them into the power structure. This, he hypothesizes, is a cause for social instability, as those left out of power feel aggrieved by their relatively low socioeconomic status. However, Turchin's model cannot foretell precisely how a crisis will unfold; it can only yield probabilities. Turchin likened this to the accumulation of deadwood in a forest over many years, paving the way for a cataclysmic forest fire later on. It is possible to predict a massive conflagration, Turchin argues, but not what causes it. (en)
  • La surproduction d'élite est un concept, développé par Piotr Tourtchine, qui décrit la condition d'une société qui produit trop de membres potentiels de l'élite par rapport à sa capacité à les absorber dans la structure du pouvoir. Tourtchine suppose que la surproduction d'élites est une cause d'instabilité sociale, car ceux qui sont exclus du pouvoir se sentent lésés par leur statut social relativement bas. (fr)
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