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The lipstick index is a term coined by Leonard Lauder, chairman of the board of Estee Lauder, used to describe increased sales of cosmetics during the early 2000s recession. Lauder made the claim that lipstick sales could be an economic indicator, in that purchases of cosmetics – lipstick in particular – tend to be inversely correlated to economic health. The speculation was that women substitute lipstick for more expensive purchases like dresses and shoes in times of economic distress.

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  • Índex de pintallavis (ca)
  • Lippenstift-Index (de)
  • Indice rouge à lèvres (fr)
  • Lipstick index (en)
  • Índice do bâton (pt)
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  • L'indice rouge à lèvres, ou en anglais, lipstick index est un concept inventé et défendu par Leonard Lauder, président du conseil d'administration de la firme Estée Lauder. Il est censé établir une corrélation inverse entre les ventes de rouge à lèvres et le niveau d'activité économique. (fr)
  • Der Lippenstift-Index (englisch Lipstick index) wurde als Begriff für eine Art eines Konjunkturindikators durch den ehemaligen Vorstandsvorsitzenden Leonard Lauder des US-amerikanischen Kosmetikakonzerns Estée Lauder Companies geprägt. (de)
  • The lipstick index is a term coined by Leonard Lauder, chairman of the board of Estee Lauder, used to describe increased sales of cosmetics during the early 2000s recession. Lauder made the claim that lipstick sales could be an economic indicator, in that purchases of cosmetics – lipstick in particular – tend to be inversely correlated to economic health. The speculation was that women substitute lipstick for more expensive purchases like dresses and shoes in times of economic distress. (en)
  • O índice do batom é um indicador que se baseia na evidência estatística de que as vendas de cosméticos sobem em razão proporcional à queda do poder de compra dos consumidores. Em tempos de incerteza financeira, em vez dos consumidores (neste caso femininos) comprarem um artigo de luxo de maior custo, e que lhes transmite uma sensação de bem estar, refugiam-se em produtos mais baratos, como os cosméticos, que lhes permitem também sentirem-se atraentes e proporcionam um sentimento de bem-estar. Assim, as vendas de batons tendem a aumentar durante as alturas de incerteza económica ou recessões. (pt)
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  • L'índex de pintallavis és un terme encunyat per Leonard Lauder, president del consell d'Estee Lauder, que s'utilitza per descriure l'augment de les vendes de cosmètics durant la recessió de principis dels anys 2000. Lauder va afirmar que les vendes de llapis de llavis podrien ser un indicador econòmic, ja que les compres de cosmètics, els pintallavis en particular, tendeixen a estar inversament correlacionades amb la salut econòmica. L'especulació era que les dones substituïen el pintallavis per compres més cares com vestits i sabates en moments de dificultat econòmica. Lauder va identificar l'índex de pintallavis com a vendes de la família de marques Estee Lauder. Les recessions posteriors, inclosa la recessió de finals de la dècada del 2000, van proporcionar proves controvertides a les afirmacions de Lauder, ja que les vendes han caigut amb la reducció de l'activitat econòmica. Per contra, les vendes de pintallavis han experimentat un creixement durant els períodes d'augment de l'activitat econòmica. Com a resultat, l'índex de pintallavis ha estat desacreditat com a indicador econòmic. L'augment de les vendes de cosmètics l'any 2001 s'ha atribuït des d'aleshores a un major interès per les marques de cosmètics dissenyades per celebritats. A la dècada de 2010, molts mitjans de comunicació van informar que amb l'auge de l'art d'ungles tant de moda als països de parla anglesa i tan lluny com el Japó i les Filipines, l'esmalt d'ungles havia substituït el llapis de llavis com a principal indulgència assequible per a les dones en lloc de bosses i sabates, el que portaria a parlar d'un índex d'esmalt d'ungles. Es va observar un sentiment similar durant la pandèmia de coronavirus, quan l'ús obligatori de màscares facials per prevenir la propagació de la malaltia va provocar un augment de les compres de maquillatge d'ulls, cosa que suggeriria un índex de màscara d'ulls. (ca)
  • Der Lippenstift-Index (englisch Lipstick index) wurde als Begriff für eine Art eines Konjunkturindikators durch den ehemaligen Vorstandsvorsitzenden Leonard Lauder des US-amerikanischen Kosmetikakonzerns Estée Lauder Companies geprägt. Lauder prägte den Begriff zur Zeit der Rezession nach den Ereignissen des 11. September 2001. Der Lippenstift-Index soll komplementär zu den offiziellen Indikatoren, als ein „weicher“ Index dienen. Offizielle Indikatoren basieren auf wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Evaluation und Datenanalyse. Der Lippenstift-Index dagegen basiert auf der Beobachtung des Absatzes von Lippenstiften. Der Index soll wie die offiziellen Indikatoren Konjunkturverläufe kennzeichnen und prognostizieren. Lauder behauptete, dass der Absatz von Lippenstift, stellvertretend für den Absatz für Kosmetika insgesamt, als ein Index für die Kaufkraft dienen könne und die allgemeine Stimmung der Verbraucher abbilden würde. Lauder deutete den erhöhten Absatz von „Lippenstiften“ als eine Ersatzhandlung (inferiores Gut) für den Kauf von wesentlich teureren Produkten wie Mode, Schmuck und Schuhe, da die Kunden in einer rezessiven Periode ihr Kaufverhalten signifikant anpassen würden. Die Stichhaltigkeit von Lauders Annahme wurde beispielsweise deshalb bezweifelt, weil dieser als Vergleichsgrundlage nur die Umsätze der konzerneigenen Produkte und Marken verwendete. Kritiker wiesen ferner darauf hin, dass beispielsweise die Rezession seit 2008 sich auf den Absatz von Kosmetika nicht so auswirkte, wie es nach Lauders Hypothese sein sollte. (de)
  • The lipstick index is a term coined by Leonard Lauder, chairman of the board of Estee Lauder, used to describe increased sales of cosmetics during the early 2000s recession. Lauder made the claim that lipstick sales could be an economic indicator, in that purchases of cosmetics – lipstick in particular – tend to be inversely correlated to economic health. The speculation was that women substitute lipstick for more expensive purchases like dresses and shoes in times of economic distress. Lauder identified the Lipstick index as sales across the Estee Lauder family of brands. Subsequent recessions, including the late-2000s recession, provided controverting evidence to Lauder's claims, as sales have actually fallen with reduced economic activity. Conversely, lipstick sales have experienced growth during periods of increased economic activity. As a result, the lipstick index has been discredited as an economic indicator. The increased sales of cosmetics in 2001 has since been attributed to increased interest in celebrity-designed cosmetics brands. In the 2010s, many media outlets reported that with the rise of nail art as fad in the English-speaking countries and as far afield as Japan and the Philippines, nailpolish had replaced lipstick as the main affordable indulgence for women in place of bags and shoes during recession, leading to talk of a nail polish index. Similar sentiment was noted during the coronavirus pandemic, when the mandated use of face masks to prevent the spread of the disease resulted in an increase of eye makeup purchases, suggesting a Mascara index. (en)
  • L'indice rouge à lèvres, ou en anglais, lipstick index est un concept inventé et défendu par Leonard Lauder, président du conseil d'administration de la firme Estée Lauder. Il est censé établir une corrélation inverse entre les ventes de rouge à lèvres et le niveau d'activité économique. (fr)
  • O índice do batom é um indicador que se baseia na evidência estatística de que as vendas de cosméticos sobem em razão proporcional à queda do poder de compra dos consumidores. Em tempos de incerteza financeira, em vez dos consumidores (neste caso femininos) comprarem um artigo de luxo de maior custo, e que lhes transmite uma sensação de bem estar, refugiam-se em produtos mais baratos, como os cosméticos, que lhes permitem também sentirem-se atraentes e proporcionam um sentimento de bem-estar. Assim, as vendas de batons tendem a aumentar durante as alturas de incerteza económica ou recessões. Este termo foi criado por Leonard Lauder (presidente da empresa Estee Lauder de cosméticos), que se apercebeu que em alturas de crise económica as vendas de batom disparavam. Este indicador tem sido testado ao longo dos anos, porém não mostra-se totalmente fiável. Por exemplo, nos meses seguintes a 11 de Setembro de 2001, a venda de bâtons duplicou. Este fato pode ser vinculado ao interesse de se ter produtos de beleza promovidos (inspirados) em celebridades. (pt)
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