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Used in a number of sciences, ranging from econometrics to meteorology, consensus forecasts are predictions of the future that are created by combining together several separate forecasts which have often been created using different methodologies. Also known as combining forecasts, forecast averaging or model averaging (in econometrics and statistics) and committee machines, ensemble averaging or expert aggregation (in machine learning). Applications can range from forecasting the weather to predicting the annual Gross Domestic Product of a country or the number of cars a company or an individual dealer is likely to sell in a year. While forecasts are often made for future values of a time series, they can also be for one-off events such as the outcome of a presidential election or a foot

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rdfs:label	Consensus forecast (en) Consensus (it) Консенсус-прогноз (uk)
rdfs:comment	Used in a number of sciences, ranging from econometrics to meteorology, consensus forecasts are predictions of the future that are created by combining together several separate forecasts which have often been created using different methodologies. Also known as combining forecasts, forecast averaging or model averaging (in econometrics and statistics) and committee machines, ensemble averaging or expert aggregation (in machine learning). Applications can range from forecasting the weather to predicting the annual Gross Domestic Product of a country or the number of cars a company or an individual dealer is likely to sell in a year. While forecasts are often made for future values of a time series, they can also be for one-off events such as the outcome of a presidential election or a foot (en) Con il termine consensus, o più esattamente consensus forecast, si definisce in ambito finanziario la media delle previsioni emesse dagli in merito alle performance previste dei risultati finanziari e dell'andamento della quotazione di una società o di uno strumento finanziario quotati in Borsa. Il consensus, quale media di queste analisi e di queste previsioni, può essere considerato la previsione più attendibile, in quanto consente di eliminare i picchi positivi o negativi delle singole valutazioni emesse dagli analisti. (it) Консенсус-прогноз — це передбачення майбутнього, яке створюються шляхом об’єднання кількох окремих прогнозів, які часто створювалися з використанням різних методологій. Використовуються в ряді наук, починаючи від економетрики і закінчуючи метеорологією. Також відомий як комбінування прогнозів, усереднення прогнозів або усереднення моделі (в економетриці та статистиці) і , або агрегація експертів (у машинному навчанні). Застосування можуть варіюватися від прогнозування погоди до прогнозування річного валового внутрішнього продукту країни або кількості автомобілів, які компанія чи окремий дилер, ймовірно, продасть за рік. Хоча прогнози часто робляться для майбутніх значень часового ряду, вони також можуть бути для одноразових подій, таких як результати президентських виборів або футбольного (uk)
dcterms:subject	Climate and weather statistics Macroeconomic forecasting Economic forecasting Statistical forecasting Futures techniques Informal estimation
Wikipage page ID	28168533 (xsd:integer)
Wikipage revision ID	1057852559 (xsd:integer)
Link from a Wikipage to another Wikipage	Prediction interval Ensemble forecasting Time series Probabilistic forecasting Climate and weather statistics Quantile regression Macroeconomic forecasting Consensus-based assessment Consensus decision-making Arithmetic mean Machine learning Statistics Committee machine Delphi method Economic forecasting Statistical forecasting Economic forecasting Forecasting Forecast error Global Energy Forecasting Competition Ensemble averaging Quantile regression averaging Gross Domestic Product International Monetary Fund Futures techniques Informal estimation Blue Chip Economic Indicators Cognitive bias Econometrics Reference class forecasting Empirical studies Meteorology Forum for the Future Roy Batchelor
Link from a Wikipage to an external page	http://www.cnb.cz/miranda2/export/sites/www.cnb.cz/en/research/research_publications/cnb_wp/download/cnbwp_2010_14.pdf http://www.consensuseconomics.com https://web.archive.org/web/20141231173659/http:/www.cnb.cz/miranda2/export/sites/www.cnb.cz/en/research/research_publications/cnb_wp/download/cnbwp_2010_14.pdf
sameAs	Consensus forecast Consensus forecast Consensus forecast Consensus forecast Consensus forecast Consensus forecast
dbp:wikiPageUsesTemplate	dbt:Cite_journal dbt:Redirect dbt:Futures_studies
has abstract	Used in a number of sciences, ranging from econometrics to meteorology, consensus forecasts are predictions of the future that are created by combining together several separate forecasts which have often been created using different methodologies. Also known as combining forecasts, forecast averaging or model averaging (in econometrics and statistics) and committee machines, ensemble averaging or expert aggregation (in machine learning). Applications can range from forecasting the weather to predicting the annual Gross Domestic Product of a country or the number of cars a company or an individual dealer is likely to sell in a year. While forecasts are often made for future values of a time series, they can also be for one-off events such as the outcome of a presidential election or a football match. (en) Con il termine consensus, o più esattamente consensus forecast, si definisce in ambito finanziario la media delle previsioni emesse dagli in merito alle performance previste dei risultati finanziari e dell'andamento della quotazione di una società o di uno strumento finanziario quotati in Borsa. I principali operatori di mercato (istituti di credito, banche d'affari, società di rating, SIM) emettono periodicamente delle analisi sull'andamento generale delle società quotate, sulla base delle quali vengono indicate anche previsioni relative ad alcuni parametri di valutazione delle stesse, quali ad esempio l'utile per azione, il fatturato, l'indebitamento finanziario. Sulla base di queste previsioni, vengono inoltre indicati parametri più direttamente inerenti ai mercati finanziari, prima di tutto il cosiddetto target price, ossia la quotazione sulla quale il titolo dovrebbe assestarsi in un lasso di tempo indicato, solitamente non superiore ad alcuni mesi, e consigli per gli eventuali investitori, ossia di acquistare (buy), mantenere (hold) o vendere (sell) i titoli della società oggetto dell'analisi. Il consensus, quale media di queste analisi e di queste previsioni, può essere considerato la previsione più attendibile, in quanto consente di eliminare i picchi positivi o negativi delle singole valutazioni emesse dagli analisti. (it) Консенсус-прогноз — це передбачення майбутнього, яке створюються шляхом об’єднання кількох окремих прогнозів, які часто створювалися з використанням різних методологій. Використовуються в ряді наук, починаючи від економетрики і закінчуючи метеорологією. Також відомий як комбінування прогнозів, усереднення прогнозів або усереднення моделі (в економетриці та статистиці) і , або агрегація експертів (у машинному навчанні). Застосування можуть варіюватися від прогнозування погоди до прогнозування річного валового внутрішнього продукту країни або кількості автомобілів, які компанія чи окремий дилер, ймовірно, продасть за рік. Хоча прогнози часто робляться для майбутніх значень часового ряду, вони також можуть бути для одноразових подій, таких як результати президентських виборів або футбольного матчу. (uk)
gold:hypernym	Predictions
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is Link from a Wikipage to another Wikipage of	Electricity price forecasting Ensemble forecasting Probabilistic forecasting Federal Planning Bureau Futures techniques Large-scale macroeconometric model Western Blue Chip Economic Forecast Economic forecasting Forecast bias Foresight (forecasting journal) Quantile regression averaging Economic Outlook (OECD publication) Reference class forecasting List of statistics articles Wall Street Journal Economic Survey Consensus forecasts
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